Solve the Deficit Problem by Cutting Government Spending – You Don’t Stop the Spending by Refusing to Increase the Debt Ceiling

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Jane M. Young, CFP, EA

A few clients and friends have asked me if they should be making changes to their investment allocations based on the uncertainty around raising the debt ceiling. While we don’t want to bury our heads in the sand we should not over react to something that probably won’t come to pass. In my opinion the political stakes are way too high for all parties concerned to allow the U.S. to default on its obligations. At the moment everyone is playing chicken but at the end of the day, neither party can afford the political fallout that would result in a failure to raise the debt ceiling. This does present a great opportunity for the media to get attention with sensationalistic, doomsday headlines to help them sell newspapers or television spots. This is also a great opportunity for political posturing on the part of both Democrats and Republicans. It is my projection that on August 2nd we will still have a huge deficit problem and a higher debt ceiling.

The debt ceiling is an indication of a much bigger problem with federal government spending. The problem is not solved by changing the debt ceiling; the problem was created when congress approved spending resulting in the need to raise the debt ceiling. Failure to raise the debt ceiling is like trying to close the barn door after the horse has gotten out. Refusing to raise the debt ceiling is a meaningless gesture, with regard to our deficit. However, it carries a catastrophic impact on the perceived safety of U.S. debt which would ripple down through all aspects of our financial lives. This is clearly not an acceptable course of action. The real issue is getting a handle on government spending and the deficit which will require major reforms to Social Security and Medicare. Our economy and prosperity are being held back by a looming black cloud caused by fear and uncertainty with regard government spending and the federal deficit.

What You Should Be Doing Now!

Jane M. Young CFP, EA

1. Start by re-evaluating your monthly expenses to determine how much money you need for necessary expenses. Then determine how much you have remaining after you cover these expenses.

2. During difficult economic times, like the present, most people should maintain an emergency fund of at least 6 months of expenses. If you have an exceptionally secure job you may be able to drop it down to 3 months. Always be sure to sure to maintain an adequate emergency fund.

3. Once your emergency fund is established pay off any high interest credit cards.

4. Put aside money for special one time expenses such as a new roof, a new car or a down payment on a house. If you don’t own your own home give some serious consideration to saving up to buy one. Decide how much you want to save on a monthly basis and start a systematic savings plan.

5. Now you can start investing! Determine how much you can afford to invest on a monthly basis. Most people should start by investing in their company retirement plan up to the level that the company will match. If you can afford to invest beyond the level of your company match, invest up to the maximum allowed in a Roth IRA. This should be done on a monthly basis to take advantage of dollar cost averaging – investing the same amount every month. The 2009 contribution limit for a Roth IRA is $5,000 if you are under 50 and $6000 if you are over 50. There is an income limit on your eligibility to contribute to a Roth IRA based on your adjusted gross income. For 2009, your eligibility to contribute begins to phase-out at $166,000, if you are married filing jointly and $105,000 if you are single.

If you still have money to invest after maximizing your Roth IRA, resume contributing to your company retirement plan up to the maximum amount. The maximum contribution limit for a 401k in 2009 is $16,500 if you are under 50 and $22,000 if you are over 50.

Invest your money in a diversified set of mutual funds. Establish an asset allocation consistent with your timeframe and risk tolerance. For most individuals this will vary from 50% to 80% in stock mutual funds, with the balance in fixed income investments. The market is still priced very low and it is a great time to buy stock mutual funds. However, the market will be very volatile over the next 6 – 9 months. Dollar cost averaging into your retirement plans will help you take advantage of this volatility.

This is very general advice and everyone’s situation is unique. Treat this advice as a general guideline and adapt it to your own situation or consult a Certified Financial Planner for guidance.

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